Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 12.723407 14.578910 16.558590 18.822145 21.332655 24.025715 27.126931
2025-11-09 9.820981 12.262435 15.046401 18.433820 22.420772 26.940426 32.426268
2025-11-16 8.037983 10.734064 13.970194 18.096456 23.169734 29.153684 36.691115
2025-11-23 6.652922 9.431620 12.920609 17.552185 23.460716 30.663374 40.015174
2025-11-30 5.838149 8.720023 12.482153 17.650136 24.449349 32.965915 44.299822
2025-12-07 5.166992 8.103217 12.076784 17.708024 25.324773 35.098093 48.389325
2025-12-14 4.651230 7.633205 11.804931 17.887039 26.320898 37.376955 52.702157
2025-12-21 4.167290 7.149091 11.456815 17.909662 27.070365 39.322151 56.607743
2025-12-28 3.874487 6.915471 11.435607 18.369172 28.414776 42.083059 61.659894
2026-01-04 3.578221 6.641798 11.324474 18.674505 29.533790 44.553204 66.374132
2026-01-11 3.258682 6.294962 11.068768 18.736157 30.285840 46.519315 70.434606
2026-01-18 2.858287 5.769391 10.489521 18.261105 30.212429 47.299335 72.843336
2026-01-25 2.526366 5.329167 10.015003 17.920509 30.324964 48.353988 75.687513
2026-02-01 2.227005 4.912661 9.543120 17.546879 30.356887 49.277071 78.355228
2026-02-08 1.971848 4.547139 9.123746 17.222858 30.434975 50.250797 81.101655
2026-02-15 1.715273 4.146920 8.608476 16.700227 30.162870 50.674531 83.032046
2026-02-22 1.577923 3.967254 8.467650 16.794275 30.869130 52.584967 87.202701
2026-03-01 1.448628 3.788551 8.312701 16.849857 31.506677 54.399217 91.265151
2026-03-08 1.346231 3.654767 8.229396 17.021753 32.335286 56.524517 95.842241
2026-03-15 1.235158 3.488157 8.069270 17.043477 32.906988 58.255849 99.850776
2026-03-22 1.180326 3.442714 8.140222 17.484774 34.199879 61.156046 105.721967
2026-03-29 1.113565 3.361363 8.132772 17.778051 35.245147 63.683302 111.065219
2026-04-05 1.028885 3.226260 8.005403 17.837272 35.882042 65.563948 115.432064